Ultimate Texas Holdem Poker House Edge

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Ultimate Texas Hold’em is a table game that pits the player against the dealer in a one-on-one poker matchup. Like the game it is based on, each hand is dealt out of a standard 52-card deck.

Prepare yourself by learning the proper strategies, and it’s a table game worth wagering on

Texas

by Michael Shackleford

Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em is a good bet when you use optimal strategy. The game also has a slow pace, which means you’ll lose less money per hour on average. Another side benefit is that casinos often comp these poker-based games pretty well.

Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em is one of the more popular poker variations to make it into the crowded business of casino table games. The twist to this game is that the player makes a one-time Play bet of either four times his Ante bet after seeing his hole cards; two times his Ante after the flop; or one time his Ante after the river. Here’s a rundown of the complete set of rules.

  1. A single, ordinary 52-card deck is used.
  2. The player must make equal bets on both the Ante and Blind.
  3. Two cards are dealt face down to the player and dealer. The player may look at his own cards.
  4. The player may check or make a Play bet equal to three or four times the Ante.
  5. The dealer deals the three community cards (the flop).
  6. If the player previously checked, then he may make a Play bet equal to two times his Ante.
  7. The dealer deals two more community cards (the turn and river).
  8. If the player previously checked twice, then he must either make a Play bet equal to exactly his Ante or fold.
  9. The player and dealer will both make the best possible hand using any combination of his own two cards and the five community cards. The higher hand shall win.
  10. Winning Ante bets pay even money. However, if the dealer can not open with a pair or higher, then Ante bets will automatically push.
  11. Winning Play bets always pay even money.
  12. Winning Blind bets pay according to the posted pay table.

Blind Pay Table

Player HandPays
Royal flush500 to 1
Straight flush50 to 1
Four of a kind10 to 1
Full house3 to 1
Flush3 to 2
Straight1 to 1
All otherPush

The Play bet works strongly in the player’s favor. It’s a way to get more money down when you know you have good cards, and it always pays even money. However, the player pays for that with the Ante and Blind bets. The Ante bet works in the dealer’s favor, because the dealer needs a pair to open. If he doesn’t have a pair, the player will most likely have the higher hand, but the Ante will push. The Blind bet also favors the dealer, because wins of three of a kind or less push.

Strategy

The following strategy advises you when to make the 4X raise. The player should never make a 3X raise at this point.

Pairs: Raise on 3s or higher.

Ace high: Always raise.

King high: Raise except with unsuited K4 or less.

Queen high: Raise with Q8 or higher and suited Q6 and Q7.

Jack high: Raise with JT and unsuited J8 and J9.

Hold

All other: Don’t raise.

The strategy for raising after the flop and river is rather complicated. I don’t have enough room to cover it here; I recommend the website www.discountgambling.net for the complete strategy.

Odds

Assuming the player follows optimal strategy, the house edge, as defined as the ratio of the expected loss to the Ante bet, is 2.185%. The purpose of the house edge is to estimate losses per hand over time. So, if the player started with $10 bets (on both Ante and Blind), for two hours and we assume 50 hands per hour, the expected loss would be 10*2*50*0.02185 = $21.85.

For the purposes of comparing one game to another, I prefer to use the “element of risk,” which is the ratio of the expected loss to the average bet. In this case, the final bet will be 4.152 times your Ante bet by the end of the hand. Thus, the element of risk is 2.185%/4.152 = 0.526%. That’s very low!

Trips Bet

Every poker-based game seems to offer at least one side bet, and Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em is no exception. A popular offering is “Trips.” It pays based on the poker value of the player’s final hand. Four pay tables are known. The following table shows what each hand pays under each pay table, and the house edge.

HandP.T. 1P.T. 2P.T. 3P.T. 4
Royal flush50505050
Straight flush40404040
Four of a kind30303020
Full house9887
Flush7676
Straight4545
Three of a kind3333
All otherLossLossLossLoss
House Edge0.902%1.904%3.498%6.181%

Progressive Jackpot

Some tables now have a $1 progressive jackpot side bet, also based on the player’s cards only. The following pay table is the one I have seen in Las Vegas:

Player flops royal flush pays the jackpot.

Any other royal partially on board pays 5% of jackpot.

Royal entirely on board pays $3000.

Straight flush pays $250.

Four of a kind pays $100

Full house pays $10.

The return is 50.19% plus 3% for each $10,000 in the meter. To reach breakeven, the meter would need to get to $165,959.74. Most of the time the meter will be much less, and thus it carries a high house edge.

In Conclusion…

Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em is a good bet when you use optimal strategy. The game also has a slow pace, which means you’ll lose less money per hour on average. Another side benefit is that casinos often comp these poker-based games pretty well. The strategy is rather complicated, however. Before you give this game a shot, you should at least memorize when to make the big raise. For more information about Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em, visit my web site www.wizardofodds.com or www.discountgambling.net.

Ultimate Texas Hold ‘Em.

SONBP2
As I have stated before, I have been playing this game a lot over the past few months. I basically have had two experiences while playing, (1) winning double to triple my original buy-in or (2) losing my original buy-in within a few minutes. I started thinking about the house edge of this game and according to my calculations it is very unlikely that any given player will really see the expected 2% house edge for their play, it is just not realistic.
For example, lets assume that the Wiz's calculations for the game considered approximately 250,000 hands. On average, I play for about an hour during any given session. I estimate that I see between 20-30 hands per hour, 2 to 3 minutes per hand. So at 20 hands per hour it would take approximately 12,500 hours of play to reach the expected house edge. That breaks down to 520 days of 24hr a day play, almost 1 1/2 years of continuous play. Even if we estimated 30 hands per hour that would be 8,333 hours of play or almost one year of 24 hour continuous play. So for me, if I play 7 days a week an hour a day it would still take me 34 years before I play 250,000 hands. Maybe the Wiz's calculations don't assume 250,000, but my point is it would take myself almost a lifetime to see the expected house edge.
What really got me thinking about this was my play over the weekend. We went out with friends to play at the M on Friday night. I sat down with a $100 buy-in. Played 5 hands, perfect strategy was used, and busted out. On Sunday, we went to Mesquite after going to the Clark County fair. I played for 1 hour, $100 buy-in, within the hour I hit a straight, a three of kind, four full houses, and a four of a kind.
I will likely always use the Wiz's strategy when playing any game, but after seeing how long it will take me to realize the expected house edge I may be much more willing to try games I wouldn't usually play because really anything could happen in the short amount of time I am actually playing.
dwheatley
You want to look at this post by Stephen, which uses pretty graphs to explain what you are getting at.
All games of chance work essentially the same way. You personally will never reach 'the long term', but you can be sure your results will be skewed in the house's favour the more you play.
Wisdom is the quality that keeps you out of situations where you would otherwise need it
jeffwarren75
odd are the odds no matter how long you play, just like playing one pull of video poker on a game the holds 99.9 percent on one hand you could win 4000 or lose the whole thing
teddys
What are your goals when playing? Do you want to be able to play for a long time with minimal losses, or do you want the chance to hit it big right away? If one, play low limit video poker or blackjack. If two, play bets like Trips in UTH or the Pair Plus in three card. The house edge will be always be there, working against you. The smaller the house edge, the better your chances to do well in the medium-to-long term.
I've had nasty streaks at UTH. Playing at Wynn, I busted out of $400 in 25 minutes playing $10 a hand (no Trips). Then I went through another $400 at Orleans playing $5 a hand with $5 trips. That was bad. But I've hit a straight flush, too ($900 payout), and have had sessions where it seemed like I couldn't lose a hand.
'Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe.' -Rig Veda 10.34.4
odiousgambit

I will likely always use the Wiz's strategy when playing any game, but after seeing how long it will take me to realize the expected house edge I may be much more willing to try games I wouldn't usually play because really anything could happen in the short amount of time I am actually playing.

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There are definitely some who argue that the casual gamble playing rarely should just go out and have fun, paying no attention to low HE or proper strategy. What is the name of the TV program that has one gambling expert of some kind bet another that it doesn't matter for such as the short period they were going to act it out for the camera? One just plays all the sucker bets and the other goes for the low HE games only. I think the former wins against the latter or at least firmly makes his point. IIRC the Wizard is in that production early on, but isn't one of the two experts playing this out. [edits]
For the gambler who plays more and also always does it against a HE, you have to agree with the Wizard that low HE is the only thing an intelligent gambler can consider as playable, and that careful consideration of comps is also in order.
From the way you talk, sounds like you are in the latter category. To date, I am something in between these types. UTH is definitely on my radar now, still havent played though.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
teddys

For the gambler who plays more and also always does it against a HE, you have to agree with the Wizard that low HE is the only thing an intelligent gambler can consider as playable, and that careful consideration of comps is also in order.
From the way you talk, sounds like you are in the latter category. To date, I am something in between these types. UTH is definitely on my radar now, still havent played though.

Playing UTH at $5 a hand (no trips), 30 hands an hour, with optimal strategy gives you an expected loss of $3.27 an hour. That's the same or less than most blackjack games, and comparable to craps. It is not hard to make back that $3.27 through comps or cashback. One casino in California was giving $5 in player rewards per hour. Even one mispay (happens more often than you think) will wipe out a few hours' expected loss. Like Stephen says, it is exceptionally cheap gambling.
'Dice, verily, are armed with goads and driving-hooks, deceiving and tormenting, causing grievous woe.' -Rig Veda 10.34.4
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SONBP2

From the way you talk, sounds like you are in the latter category. To date, I am something in between these types. UTH is definitely on my radar now, still havent played though.


For the most part, I will always consider the house edge and comps when playing and have previously refused to play side bets or certain games because of the high house edge. I also refused to play games that the Wiz or some other reliable source didn't have a perfect analysis of the game from which to base my play. I guess my point in drafting the original post was to somewhat argue against that theory simply because for the average player, assuming average means playing 3 to 4x per week, will never realize the expected house edge for a given game because the average player doesn't play enough. Another example is the house edge for blackjack, assuming the less than 1% house calculated at 250,000 hands and an average 50 hands per hour, which would still mean you need to play 1hr per day 7 days a week for 13 1/2 years.

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Therefore, I may be willing to play the extra $5 on a side bet even if the house edge is 5%. Unless you are a professional or someone with a lot of time to spend at the casino on a daily basis I would argue that 95% of all gamblers are short term gamblers. Don't get me wrong, I am not going to start playing Big 6 or Keno, but I may not be so willing to argue against a side bet from here forward.
odiousgambit

assuming average means playing 3 to 4x per week


actually that seems like a lot to me
Quote: SONBP2

I may not be so willing to argue against a side bet from here forward.


when it is just a dollar or two I have been known to do it. Considering that in his craps video the Wizard still touts the HE difference that the dark side offers, I think we have to realize he will never give his stamp of approval on this [g]

Even one mispay (happens more often than you think) will wipe out a few hours' expected loss. Like Stephen says, it is exceptionally cheap gambling.


I strongly suspect staying on your toes pays off. If the first cards do not suggest a flush or straight, yet it develops and you must use community+hole cards [edit], I have always noticed newbies - and me if I get rusty or tired - will easily miss it.

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Player advantage

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Lowering HE via tired dealer is definitely something I have thought about in this game.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!” She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
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